In a recently published staff report for South Korea, the International Monetary Fund dedicated an annexe to understanding low unemployment in the country.
Noting that South Korea’s unemployment rate “has fallen to historically low levels,” the report described the figure to be “unusually low” in the country.
The unemployment rate in South Korea came out to 2.1% last month, the lowest the figure has ever been in the month of October.
This means only two out of 100 economically active individuals were unemployed and unable to find work.
South Korea is projected to record economic growth in the low 1% range for 2023, the lowest the figure has ever been in 14 years excluding the COVID-19 pandemic years, so what could account for the upturn in employment?
The IMF focused on “labour market matching efficiency” as an explanation for this phenomenon. It argued, “Improved labour market matching efficiency has contributed the most to low unemployment since COVID.”
In fact, according to the IMF’s analysis, matching efficiency lowered the domestic unemployment rate from 2021 to the first half of 2023 by an average of one percentage point.
This means workers looking for employment and corporations looking for manpower are able to come together more easily than in the past, quickly resolving the imbalance of labour supply and demand.
The IMF noted, “The expansion of service sector jobs as COVID restrictions were lifted, together with the increase in labour force participation of females and the elderly, who are disproportionately likely to seek jobs in the service sector, might also have contributed to improved labour market matching efficiency more recently.”
In other words, the labour market may have been able to match labour supply more easily as jobs in the service sector, such as health care, welfare, food service, and lodgings, which significantly increased in number following the COVID-19 pandemic, do not require skills necessary in industries such as manufacturing.
An increase in jobs after positions went vacant early in the pandemic and slowing growth in the working-age population were also shown to have contributed to low unemployment.
“Over the medium term, the unemployment rate is likely to remain lower than pre-COVID levels if the improvement in labour market matching efficiency proves to be largely structural and is sustained,” the IMF projected. – Yankyoreh (Hani.Co.Kr)